UK Non-Commodity Charge · Auto-generated
NTS Exit Capacity (Gas)
Current rates, who sets them, and where they are forecast to go.
What NTS Exit Capacity (Gas)is, who sets the rate, what the revenue funds, and where it's heading. Sourced daily from the Purely Energy non-commodity cost data hub.
NTS Exit Capacity (Gas): what it is, who charges it, and what it pays for
What it is
The NTS Exit Capacity (Gas) charge in plain English
Charge for gas leaving the NTS at exit points to enter local distribution networks. Varies by exit zone in theory, but broker-level calcs use a national average.
Introduced 1996 (gas market liberalisation).
Who charges it
The body that sets the rate
National Gas Transmission (RIIO-GT2)
Unit
p/kWh
Applies to
UK business gas
What it pays for
Where the revenue ends up
NTS exit infrastructure, pressure reduction stations connecting to GDN networks
Published rate history
| Financial year | Rate | YoY change | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2020 | 0.0285p/kWh | - | published |
| FY2021 | 0.0298p/kWh | +4.6% | published |
| FY2022 | 0.0312p/kWh | +4.7% | published |
| FY2023 | 0.0331p/kWh | +6.1% | published |
| FY2024 | 0.0348p/kWh | +5.1% | published |
Forecast trajectory
AI-assisted forecasts from our deep-research pipeline. P10, P50 and P90 are the 10th, 50th and 90th percentile outcomes; P50 is the central estimate.
| Year | P10 | P50 | P90 | Confidence | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | - | 0.0360 | - | - | |
| 2026-27 | 0.0250 | 0.0275 | 0.0300 | med | Based on RIIO-T3 draft determinations and charging methodology changes |
| 2026 | - | 0.0367 | - | - | |
| 2027-28 | 0.0275 | 0.0308 | 0.0340 | med | Incorporates initial industrial demand decline impacts |
| 2027 | - | 0.0375 | - | - | |
| 2028-29 | 0.0320 | 0.0366 | 0.0410 | med | Compound effect of reduced volumes and maintained investment |
| 2028 | - | 0.0382 | - | - | |
| 2029-30 | 0.0390 | 0.0461 | 0.0530 | low | Gas demand decline becomes dominant factor |
| 2029 | - | 0.0390 | - | - | |
| 2030-31 | 0.0500 | 0.0623 | 0.0750 | low | Critical inflection point where volume decline outpaces efficiency |
| 2030 | - | 0.0398 | - | - | |
| 2031-32 | 0.0600 | 0.0822 | 0.1100 | low | Highly speculative due to unknown regulatory conditions |
| 2031 | - | 0.0406 | - | - | |
| 2032-33 | 0.0750 | 0.1094 | 0.1500 | low | Assumes no regulatory intervention on affordability |
| 2032 | - | 0.0414 | - | - | |
| 2033-34 | 0.1000 | 0.1488 | 0.2000 | low | Mathematical extrapolation subject to regulatory change |
| 2033 | - | 0.0422 | - | - | |
| 2034-35 | 0.1500 | 0.2261 | 0.3000 | low | Speculative estimate dependent on future market conditions |
| 2034 | - | 0.0431 | - | - |
NTS Exit Capacity (Gas) FAQs
What is the NTS Exit Capacity (Gas) charge?
Charge for gas leaving the NTS at exit points to enter local distribution networks. Varies by exit zone in theory, but broker-level calcs use a national average.
Who sets the NTS Exit Capacity (Gas) rate?
The NTS Exit Capacity (Gas) rate is set by National Gas Transmission (RIIO-GT2).
What does NTS Exit Capacity (Gas) pay for?
NTS Exit Capacity (Gas) revenue supports NTS exit infrastructure, pressure reduction stations connecting to GDN networks.
What is the current NTS Exit Capacity (Gas) rate?
For financial year 2024, the published NTS Exit Capacity (Gas) rate is 0.0348 p/kWh.
What is the NTS Exit Capacity (Gas) forecast?
Our latest forecast for 2025 is 0.0360 p/kWh.
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Rate data sourced from the Purely Energy non-commodity cost data hub (dh.purelyenergy.co.uk). Published rates come from statutory publications by the body listed above. Forecasts are AI-generated from published guidance and market trends; treat P50 as a central estimate and reference P10/P90 for sensitivity.